예측 시장
Polymarket · 시장 확률
예측 시장 배당은 Polymarket 등 외부 시장 가격이며, NESDC 여론·Google 검색·개표와 별도 지표입니다. 자동매매·주문은 제공하지 않습니다.
연동 상태
Polymarket Gamma API 연동 중 — /api/markets/korea 에서 2026 지방선거 배당을 조회합니다.
- 활성화
- 예
- Gamma API
- 연결됨
- Kalshi
- 읽기 전용
Forecast Research Lab
시장 확률 · 읽기 전용
외부 시장이 매긴 가격입니다. 검색·여론·개표와 섞지 않으며, 자동 주문·PnL은 제공하지 않습니다.
- 마켓 배당 (Gamma)연결됨
- Kalshi읽기 전용
- race_id 매핑17광역 큐레이션
- ChatVote 확률과 합산하지 않음
- 실거래(CLOB)이 제품에서 제공 안 함
Polymarket · Gamma API
제9회 지방선거 마켓 (아카이브)
제9회 지방선거 마켓은 만기·정산된 아카이브입니다. 100% 가격은 시즌 확률이 아닙니다. NESDC 여론·Google 검색·개표와 별도 지표입니다.
- 광역 연동
- 16/16
- 갱신
- 2026-10-10T12:41
전국
전국 정당 승자
2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner
- the Democratic Party of Korea (DP)100.0%
- the People Power Party (PPP)0.0%
- the Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP)0.0%
- the Progressive Party (PP)0.0%
- another party0.0%
- Reform Party (RP)0.0%
광역단체장 (17)
부산
부산광역시장
2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner
- Chun Jae-soo100.0%
- Park Heong-joon0.0%
- Kim Do-eup0.0%
- Cho Kyoung-tae0.0%
- Suh Byung-soo0.0%
- Park Seong-hoon0.0%
충청북
충청북도지사
Chungcheongbuk Province Governor Election Winner
- Shin Yong-han100.0%
- Kim Young-hwan0.0%
- Cho Gil-hyeong0.0%
- Lee Jong-bae0.0%
- Yoon Hee-geun0.0%
- Noh Yeong-min0.0%
충청남
충청남도지사
2026 Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election: Margin of Victory
- Park Soo-hyun100.0%
- Park Soo-hyun0.0%
- Park Soo-hyun0.0%
- Park Soo-hyun0.0%
- Kim Tae-heum0.0%
- Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?0.0%
대구
대구광역시장
2026 Daegu Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory
- Choo Kyung-ho100.0%
- Choo Kyung-ho0.0%
- Choo Kyung-ho0.0%
- Kim Boo-kyum0.0%
- Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?0.0%
대전
대전광역시장
Daejeon Mayoral Election Winner
- Huh Tae-jung100.0%
- Lee Jang-woo0.0%
- Candidate A0.0%
- Candidate B0.0%
- Candidate C0.0%
- Candidate D0.0%
강원
강원특별자치도지사
2026 Gangwon Province Governor Election: Margin of Victory
- Woo Sang-ho100.0%
- Woo Sang-ho0.0%
- Woo Sang-ho0.0%
- Woo Sang-ho0.0%
- Kim Jin-tae0.0%
- Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?0.0%
전남광주
전남광주특별시장
Jeonnam–Gwangju Mayoral Election Winner
- Min Hyung-bae100.0%
- Lee Jung-hyun0.0%
- Candidate A0.0%
- Candidate B0.0%
- Candidate C0.0%
- Candidate D0.0%
경상북
경상북도지사
2026 Gyeongsangbuk Province Gubernatorial Election Winner
- Lee Cheol-woo100.0%
- Oh Joong-ki0.0%
- someone else0.0%
- Candidate A0.0%
- Candidate B0.0%
- Candidate C0.0%
경기
경기도지사
2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election Winner
- Choo Mi-ae100.0%
- dupe Will Yoo Seung-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?7.0%
- Kim Dong-yeon0.0%
- Kim Byeong-ju0.0%
- Yeom Tae-yeong0.0%
- Han Jun-ho0.0%
경상남
경상남도지사
2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election Winner
- Park Wan-soo100.0%
- Kim Kyung-soo0.0%
- someone else0.0%
- Candidate A0.0%
- Candidate B0.0%
- Candidate C0.0%
인천
인천광역시장
2026 Incheon Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory
- Park Chan-dae100.0%
- Park Chan-dae0.0%
- Park Chan-dae0.0%
- Park Chan-dae0.0%
- Yoo Jeong-bok0.0%
- Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?0.0%
제주
제주특별자치도지사
2026 Jeju Province Gubernatorial Election Winner
- Wi Seong-gon100.0%
- Moon Sung-yu0.0%
- Kim Myeong-ho0.0%
- Yang Yun-nyeong0.0%
- someone else0.0%
- Candidate A0.0%
전북
전북특별자치도지사
2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election Winner
- Lee Won-taek100.0%
- Kim Kwan-young0.0%
- Yang Jeong-mu0.0%
- someone else0.0%
- Candidate A0.0%
- Candidate B0.0%
세종
세종특별자치시장
Sejong Mayoral Election Winner
- Cho Sangho100.0%
- Choi Min-ho0.0%
- Candidate A0.0%
- Candidate B0.0%
- Candidate C0.0%
- Candidate D0.0%
서울특별시장
서울특별시장
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
- Oh Se-hoon100.0%
- Na Kyung-won0.0%
- Cho Eun-hee0.0%
- Han Dong-hoon0.0%
- Ahn Cheol-soo0.0%
- Park Ju-min0.0%
울산
울산광역시장
Ulsan Mayoral Election Winner
- Kim Sang-wook100.0%
- Kim Doo-kyum0.0%
- Park Maeng-woo0.0%
- Kim Jong-hoon0.0%
- Candidate C0.0%
- Candidate D0.0%
다음 국가 이벤트 (큐레이션)
- 제23대 국회의원선거 (예정)South Korea 2028 national assembly election
- 차기 대선South Korea next presidential election